December 6, 2009 - Tomorrow some 15,000 delegates from around the world will be gathered in Copenhagen for what is formally called the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The goal of the week long conference is to lay out a plan for a global response to global warming. The core premises of the conference are that climate change is happening and that human activity is either causing or contributing to it. There is a general worldwide consensus on these two fundamental points.
However, a general consensus leaves a lot of room for dissent and the dissenters have had support from a recent controversy at East Anglia University in the UK, a leading university in the field of environmental studies. There, researchers who support strong action to reverse the emissions of greenhouse gasses, emailed each other about how to best present evidence that supports global warming and how to suppress evidence that is contrary. Here's one of the many stories on this subject from
Guardian UK. And then there's news that global warming has been stalled for the past ten years as reported in
Der Spiegel.
Beyond these disputes about the data, there are deep divisions among the governments and peoples of the world. Countries emerging from poverty, such as China and India blame rich established countries like the US for creating the problem and say that rich countries should do more to mitigate emissions even as they (the emerging countries) contribute an ever larger share. More on
this issue.
But even if the issues about the fundamental data and who-to-blame are resolved and the world agrees to take unified action there is the question of what to do? Should the rich countries pay Brazil, Indonesia, Congo and Burma to stop burning and logging timber in their rain forests? Should the world make a concerted effort to switch from coal and oil based sources to non emitting sources such as sun, wind and nuclear?
Here's an illuminating view from aliens written by NY Times science commentator Olivia Judson:
Betting on Copenhagen